最近媒體常關心，年金的績效是否能達7%，在此先說明：
操作幾十張和上千張的部位絕對不一樣。部位少，靈活易進出；一旦超過個股市場容量(看熱絡度)，則進退如大部隊調兵遣將，一不慎即會陷入泥沼。
三分之一可達7%以上
萬日報曾在去(2016)年第四季停刊，聖誕節前回歸後，我們以這次波段結束來總結，共追蹤了215家。多頭平均11.4%，空頭平均4.8%。多頭最大漲幅114.2%，空頭最大跌幅37.4%。多空達7%以上有70家，大約是1/3。每家追蹤到結案的天數平均只是8.6天
空頭能存活才是贏家
下一階段，可能是空方會大幅勝出。不只是能在空頭市場生存下去，還要能獲利，才是好的操作者。
|
萬日報618-680期績效統計
|
|||
|
代號
|
結案日期
|
最大漲跌幅度
|
追蹤天數
|
|
紅多黑空
|
|||
|
3XX8
|
2016/12/27
|
4.0%
|
1
|
|
9X11
|
2016/12/29
|
2.8%
|
3
|
|
33X6
|
2016/12/30
|
3.6%
|
3
|
|
8011
|
2016/12/30
|
6.0%
|
4
|
|
2XX9
|
2017/1/3
|
1.5%
|
4
|
|
30XX
|
2017/1/4
|
0.9%
|
5
|
|
22XX
|
2017/1/5
|
5.0%
|
5
|
|
15XX
|
2017/1/6
|
2.8%
|
1
|
|
80XX
|
2017/1/9
|
1.9%
|
2
|
|
146X
|
2017/1/9
|
3.3%
|
5
|
|
618X
|
2017/1/9
|
1.1%
|
8
|
|
41XX
|
2017/1/9
|
2.1%
|
8
|
|
33XX
|
2017/1/9
|
6.3%
|
9
|
|
32XX
|
2017/1/10
|
1.6%
|
1
|
|
61XX
|
2017/1/10
|
4.6%
|
2
|
|
99XX
|
2017/1/10
|
2.0%
|
4
|
|
8X36
|
2017/1/10
|
7.9%
|
5
|
|
5X69
|
2017/1/11
|
3.4%
|
2
|
|
614X
|
2017/1/13
|
5.0%
|
10
|
|
645X
|
2017/1/16
|
1.1%
|
2
|
|
26XX
|
2017/1/16
|
5.5%
|
3
|
|
247X
|
2017/1/16
|
3.4%
|
3
|
|
33XX
|
2017/1/17
|
1.9%
|
1
|
|
493X
|
2017/1/17
|
0.9%
|
1
|
|
240X
|
2017/1/17
|
4.4%
|
2
|
|
131X
|
2017/1/17
|
5.8%
|
4
|
|
527X
|
2017/1/17
|
6.8%
|
7
|
|
32X0
|
2017/1/17
|
3.3%
|
9
|
|
36X3
|
2017/1/18
|
2.1%
|
5
|
|
1569
|
2017/1/18
|
13.6%
|
7
|
|
363X
|
2017/1/20
|
4.6%
|
1
|
|
23XX
|
2017/1/20
|
5.7%
|
5
|
|
80XX
|
2017/1/20
|
2.0%
|
5
|
|
28XX
|
2017/1/20
|
2.4%
|
6
|
|
8XX5
|
2017/1/20
|
38.2%
|
7
|
|
2XX2
|
2017/1/20
|
14.0%
|
14
|
|
8XX6
|
2017/1/20
|
12.8%
|
16
|
|
3XX3
|
2017/1/21
|
6.1%
|
5
|
|
1XX2
|
2017/1/21
|
5.8%
|
5
|
|
83X4
|
2017/1/21
|
4.3%
|
5
|
|
27X7
|
2017/1/21
|
2.4%
|
6
|
|
62X9
|
2017/1/21
|
2.5%
|
6
|
|
24X4
|
2017/1/21
|
2.5%
|
9
|
|
49X4
|
2017/1/24
|
9.7%
|
3
|
|
30X9
|
2017/1/24
|
13.2%
|
4
|
|
14X0
|
2017/1/24
|
1.5%
|
7
|
|
21X3
|
2017/1/24
|
11.8%
|
8
|
|
17XX
|
2017/2/2
|
4.3%
|
9
|
|
45XX
|
2017/2/2
|
16.3%
|
10
|
|
61XX
|
2017/2/2
|
12.5%
|
11
|
|
19XX
|
2017/2/3
|
2.7%
|
4
|
|
99XX
|
2017/2/3
|
4.4%
|
8
|
|
3XX4
|
2017/2/3
|
2.4%
|
9
|
|
2XX1
|
2017/2/3
|
1.2%
|
10
|
|
2XX8
|
2017/2/3
|
4.5%
|
13
|
|
4XX7
|
2017/2/3
|
2.7%
|
14
|
|
6X39
|
2017/2/6
|
4.0%
|
2
|
|
26X1
|
2017/2/6
|
8.6%
|
4
|
|
6X23
|
2017/2/6
|
19.9%
|
11
|
|
8X64
|
2017/2/6
|
12.5%
|
16
|
|
131X
|
2017/2/7
|
3.5%
|
3
|
|
14XX
|
2017/2/8
|
2.5%
|
2
|
|
236X
|
2017/2/8
|
2.6%
|
3
|
|
140X
|
2017/2/8
|
9.4%
|
12
|
|
24XX
|
2017/2/8
|
30.0%
|
15
|
|
6XX2
|
2017/2/9
|
1.2%
|
1
|
|
2XX8
|
2017/2/9
|
1.2%
|
3
|
|
1XX7
|
2017/2/9
|
5.1%
|
3
|
|
3XX4
|
2017/2/9
|
6.8%
|
4
|
|
3XX6
|
2017/2/9
|
1.6%
|
4
|
|
26XX
|
2017/2/9
|
20.6%
|
6
|
|
1X08
|
2017/2/9
|
7.9%
|
9
|
|
13X0
|
2017/2/10
|
1.0%
|
2
|
|
61X9
|
2017/2/10
|
7.1%
|
2
|
|
14X7
|
2017/2/10
|
4.1%
|
4
|
|
21XX
|
2017/2/10
|
13.1%
|
4
|
|
64X2
|
2017/2/13
|
1.8%
|
2
|
|
549X
|
2017/2/13
|
5.9%
|
3
|
|
248X
|
2017/2/13
|
1.1%
|
5
|
|
341X
|
2017/2/13
|
3.7%
|
5
|
|
14XX
|
2017/2/14
|
5.5%
|
6
|
|
210X
|
2017/2/14
|
3.6%
|
8
|
|
333X
|
2017/2/14
|
8.5%
|
9
|
|
535X
|
2017/2/14
|
12.3%
|
14
|
|
121X
|
2017/2/15
|
1.5%
|
1
|
|
24XX
|
2017/2/16
|
1.4%
|
4
|
|
34XX
|
2017/2/16
|
8.0%
|
6
|
|
26XX
|
2017/2/17
|
5.3%
|
13
|
|
32XX
|
2017/2/17
|
10.6%
|
22
|
|
81XX
|
2017/2/18
|
2.5%
|
7
|
|
31XX
|
2017/2/20
|
0.9%
|
2
|
|
61XX
|
2017/2/20
|
2.8%
|
3
|
|
1X89
|
2017/2/20
|
9.0%
|
5
|
|
20XX
|
2017/2/20
|
7.3%
|
5
|
|
17XX
|
2017/2/20
|
5.6%
|
10
|
|
99XX
|
2017/2/20
|
10.4%
|
11
|
|
220X
|
2017/2/20
|
6.3%
|
13
|
|
172X
|
2017/2/20
|
8.3%
|
18
|
|
620X
|
2017/2/21
|
3.4%
|
1
|
|
326X
|
2017/2/21
|
8.8%
|
2
|
|
49XX
|
2017/2/21
|
1.1%
|
2
|
|
19XX
|
2017/2/21
|
1.7%
|
7
|
|
14XX
|
2017/2/21
|
7.8%
|
13
|
|
49XX
|
2017/2/22
|
0.8%
|
1
|
|
21XX
|
2017/2/22
|
2.8%
|
5
|
|
15XX
|
2017/2/22
|
4.9%
|
10
|
|
82XX
|
2017/2/23
|
1.8%
|
7
|
|
36XX
|
2017/2/23
|
17.8%
|
11
|
|
61XX
|
2017/2/23
|
13.5%
|
18
|
|
837X
|
2017/2/24
|
11.1%
|
4
|
|
3556
|
2017/2/24
|
2.4%
|
5
|
|
802X
|
2017/2/24
|
6.3%
|
7
|
|
17XX
|
2017/2/24
|
10.4%
|
9
|
|
49XX
|
2017/2/24
|
11.9%
|
15
|
|
30XX
|
2017/3/1
|
3.1%
|
2
|
|
17XX
|
2017/3/1
|
5.0%
|
6
|
|
30XX
|
2017/3/1
|
26.9%
|
11
|
|
35XX
|
2017/3/1
|
26.3%
|
12
|
|
80XX
|
2017/3/1
|
28.3%
|
16
|
|
30XX
|
2017/3/1
|
76.6%
|
30
|
|
80XX
|
2017/3/2
|
3.8%
|
2
|
|
24XX
|
2017/3/2
|
4.0%
|
5
|
|
30XX
|
2017/3/2
|
4.8%
|
6
|
|
234X
|
2017/3/2
|
4.5%
|
6
|
|
180X
|
2017/3/2
|
3.7%
|
7
|
|
152X
|
2017/3/2
|
3.1%
|
10
|
|
260X
|
2017/3/2
|
13.3%
|
10
|
|
520X
|
2017/3/2
|
37.4%
|
26
|
|
300X
|
2017/3/3
|
0.8%
|
2
|
|
240X
|
2017/3/3
|
1.4%
|
4
|
|
353X
|
2017/3/3
|
8.9%
|
24
|
|
263X
|
2017/3/6
|
2.0%
|
3
|
|
621X
|
2017/3/6
|
5.9%
|
4
|
|
2009
|
2017/3/6
|
49.1%
|
14
|
|
156X
|
2017/3/7
|
2.6%
|
5
|
|
263X
|
2017/3/7
|
1.6%
|
6
|
|
3296
|
2017/3/7
|
49.0%
|
29
|
|
2337
|
2017/3/7
|
114.2%
|
35
|
|
210X
|
2017/3/8
|
1.1%
|
3
|
|
496X
|
2017/3/8
|
1.1%
|
3
|
|
8936
|
2017/3/8
|
31.9%
|
28
|
|
526X
|
2017/3/9
|
4.5%
|
1
|
|
292X
|
2017/3/9
|
3.0%
|
4
|
|
627X
|
2017/3/9
|
10.9%
|
17
|
|
331X
|
2017/3/9
|
16.3%
|
23
|
|
306X
|
2017/3/9
|
16.3%
|
36
|
|
320X
|
2017/3/10
|
5.2%
|
3
|
|
816X
|
2017/3/10
|
7.5%
|
6
|
|
993Z
|
2017/3/10
|
6.6%
|
7
|
|
620X
|
2017/3/10
|
4.6%
|
8
|
|
472X
|
2017/3/10
|
8.8%
|
2
|
|
537X
|
2017/3/10
|
28.4%
|
18
|
|
1609
|
2017/3/10
|
32.6%
|
26
|
|
824X
|
2017/3/10
|
17.9%
|
31
|
|
645X
|
2017/3/13
|
2.3%
|
1
|
|
252X
|
2017/3/13
|
4.0%
|
2
|
|
286X
|
2017/3/15
|
1.1%
|
15
|
|
41X7
|
2017/3/15
|
8.7%
|
17
|
|
18X5
|
2017/3/15
|
19.8%
|
24
|
|
14X9
|
2017/3/15
|
55.2%
|
30
|
|
13X6
|
2017/3/16
|
2.2%
|
4
|
|
140X
|
2017/3/16
|
1.1%
|
4
|
|
235X
|
2017/3/16
|
2.4%
|
6
|
|
804X
|
2017/3/16
|
2.2%
|
11
|
|
846X
|
2017/3/17
|
1.6%
|
3
|
|
231X
|
2017/3/17
|
1.2%
|
7
|
|
539X
|
2017/3/20
|
6.1%
|
4
|
|
246X
|
2017/3/20
|
5.4%
|
6
|
|
493X
|
2017/3/20
|
4.7%
|
6
|
|
156X
|
2017/3/20
|
1.6%
|
6
|
|
235X
|
2017/3/20
|
6.2%
|
14
|
|
419X
|
2017/3/20
|
5.5%
|
17
|
|
3013
|
2017/3/21
|
3.8%
|
1
|
|
617X
|
2017/3/21
|
9.1%
|
16
|
|
349X
|
2017/3/21
|
15.9%
|
19
|
|
237X
|
2017/3/21
|
6.8%
|
33
|
|
2331
|
2017/3/21
|
82.7%
|
51
|
|
301X
|
2017/3/22
|
3.1%
|
5
|
|
587X
|
2017/3/22
|
29.4%
|
33
|
|
356X
|
2017/3/23
|
1.3%
|
1
|
|
491X
|
2017/3/23
|
1.4%
|
1
|
|
236X
|
2017/3/23
|
3.8%
|
3
|
|
455X
|
2017/3/23
|
4.0%
|
4
|
|
159X
|
2017/3/23
|
3.3%
|
5
|
|
807X
|
2017/3/23
|
2.9%
|
5
|
|
451X
|
2017/3/23
|
1.5%
|
9
|
|
321X
|
2017/3/23
|
29.3%
|
13
|
|
354X
|
2017/3/23
|
5.5%
|
16
|
|
624X
|
2017/3/24
|
3.7%
|
6
|
|
316X
|
2017/3/24
|
14.7%
|
6
|
|
652X
|
2017/3/24
|
15.2%
|
7
|
|
623X
|
2017/3/24
|
5.9%
|
10
|
|
28XX
|
2017/3/24
|
5.2%
|
12
|
|
13XX
|
2017/3/27
|
2.5%
|
1
|
|
6XX7
|
2017/3/27
|
1.5%
|
1
|
|
24XX
|
2017/3/27
|
3.3%
|
5
|
|
248X
|
2017/3/27
|
5.3%
|
6
|
|
615X
|
2017/3/27
|
3.2%
|
7
|
|
2614
|
2017/3/27
|
20.4%
|
11
|
|
41XX
|
2017/3/27
|
15.9%
|
13
|
|
20X8
|
2017/3/27
|
2.1%
|
16
|
|
29XX
|
2017/3/27
|
13.4%
|
33
|
|
35XX
|
2017/3/27
|
37.7%
|
17
|
|
80XX
|
2017/3/28
|
1.7%
|
1
|
|
13XX
|
2017/3/28
|
5.0%
|
10
|
|
30XX
|
2017/3/28
|
4.5%
|
18
|
|
47XX
|
2017/3/29
|
15.3%
|
15
|
|
34XX
|
2017/3/29
|
3.2%
|
20
|
|
13XX
|
2017/3/30
|
3.8%
|
2
|
|
29XX
|
2017/3/30
|
5.6%
|
2
|
|
34XX
|
2017/3/30
|
3.5%
|
2
|
|
6XX5
|
2017/3/30
|
9.4%
|
5
|
|
23XX
|
2017/3/31
|
2.9%
|
3
|
|
81XX
|
2017/3/31
|
17.0%
|
6
|
|
15XX
|
2017/3/31
|
6.3%
|
11
|
|
平均
|
|
|
6.8天
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
多平均
|
|
11.4%
|
|
|
空平均
|
|
4.8%
|
|